9/17/2014:  Week 2 picks were 2-3
9/9/2014:  Week 1 picks went 2-1!  All were unders.
9/4/2014:  In the process of updating webpage content.  Model will run in 2014 with new big play selections.  (And if I have time, will start sides wager analysis…)

Welcome to ScullyTotals which consistently beats Vegas Odds
The predictions focus on total game points (aka totals) and stem from a proprietary computer program that downloads weekly team statistics, runs multivariate regressions, and outputs recommendations where forecasted points differ greatly from the sportsbooks’.   

Simple Model

To learn more about the system, click About>Data Metrics  and  About>Model.

2014 Season Results

2014 Season Results

NFL betting system

NFL Betting System. ScullyTotals offers a Pro Football Algorithm to bet against Vegas Overs / Totals.

Summary going into 2014

Firm’s Edge:
Cornell engineer designed a computer program to deliver consistent annual results.
Accurate. Unbiased. Proven.                    Click About>Model for ScullyTotal’s edge.
Still unsure?   Try a FREE, 1 week trial.  

ScullyTotals is based on a statistical model that incorporates 42 variables for each weekly NFL game. The algorithm relies on five years of data from 2004 through 2008 to then compare today’s matchups versus historical trends. Emphasis is placed on rushing efficiency, passing efficiency, QB rating, average points, first down proficiency, and turnovers.

With each forecast, several filters are applied to identify the most favorable outcomes that make money. ScullyTotals does this by only outputting betting advice where “value” exists with oddsmaker lines. In other words, if Vegas believes the total predicted point is 45 yet the algorithm says 55 then there is a significant difference and the computer program will make a bet recommendation.